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Welcome to today’s edition of the Daily Teaser Newsletter.

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Disclaimer: The data provided in this newsletter is for informational purposes only, should not be considered advice, and should be used at your own discretion. While we strive for accuracy, it may at times contain errors or be subject to change. Always verify information before acting on it.

NBA

IND @ CLE

Obi Toppin u1.5 Threes

Obi Toppin of the Indiana Pacers faces the Cleveland Cavaliers with a line of 1.5 for Threes, and the Under option is currently at +154 odds. Over his last 10 games, Toppin has hit Under 1.5 Threes in 90% of the games, showing consistent performance below the line, with the rate slightly decreasing to 70% over the last 20 games and 66.7% over the last 30 games. He is on a five-game streak of achieving Under in this category. Toppin's average for Threes over the past 10 games stands at 1.0, while his average in away games, where this game will be played, is higher at 2.2. In his previous encounter with Cleveland, he scored 1 Three, and Cleveland ranks 11th out of 30 in points allowed per game, suggesting they are relatively strong defensively. These statistics suggest that Toppin's trend and previous performance might be indicative of another game hitting Under the set line.

Tyrese Haliburton u1.5 Steals

Tyrese Haliburton of the Indiana Pacers is facing the Cleveland Cavaliers, and the line suggests the Under on 1.5 steals with current odds of +160. Over his last 10 games, Haliburton has averaged 0.6 steals, achieving less than the line 90% of the time. This trend continues over his last 20 and 30 games, with hit rates of 80% and 63.3% respectively for staying Under, while currently on a streak of 4 games achieving this mark. Although his home average over the last 10 games is higher at 1.6 steals, he did not record a steal the last time he played Cleveland, and the Cavaliers rank 5th in turnovers per game out of 30 teams, making it a challenging environment for increasing his steal count.

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MLB

STL @ PHI

Trea Turner o0.5 Batter Singles

Trea Turner of the Philadelphia Phillies is facing the St. Louis Cardinals, who rank 19th out of 30 teams in singles allowed per game. Turner has achieved more than 0.5 singles in 90% of his last 10 games, 80% of his last 20 games, and 70% of his last 30 games, indicating consistent performance above the betting line. Currently on a one-game streak of surpassing this line, his average over the last 10 games is 1.2 singles, which increases to 1.5 singles when playing away games, showing his strength on the road. Last time he played against the Cardinals, he recorded one single, which aligns positively with the Over bet type at odds of -135.

Alec Bohm o0.5 Batter Singles

Alec Bohm from the Philadelphia Phillies is up against the St. Louis Cardinals, with a line set at 0.5 for Batter Singles and the bet type being Over given the current odds of -129. Over the last 10 games, Bohm has exceeded this line 90% of the time, with his hit rates slightly decreasing to 80% over the last 20 games and 66.7% over the last 30 games. Currently, on an impressive streak of 8 games where he has hit more than or equal to the line, Bohm averages 1.1 singles over his last 10 games and 0.8 singles in away games, showcasing consistent performance. In their previous encounter with the Cardinals, Bohm registered 2 singles, and with St. Louis ranking 19th out of 30 in singles allowed per game, there's a favorable outlook for him to maintain his streak.

ARI @ SF

Jung Hoo Lee u1.5 Batter Total Bases

Jung Hoo Lee from the San Francisco Giants faces Arizona in today's game, with a focus on the Batter Total Bases category. Lee has demonstrated a 90.0% hit rate over the last 10 games, achieving less than the line of 1.5 total bases, with this trend slightly decreasing to 80.0% over 20 games and 66.7% over 30 games. Currently on a five-game streak of staying Under the line, Lee's recent statistics support this with a ten-game average of 1.1 total bases that aligns with his home game average, which is also 1.1. During his last encounter with Arizona, he recorded 1 total base, further reinforcing the likelihood of maintaining his current Under trend, despite Arizona's defensive ranking of 21st in hits and 24th in runs allowed per game. The betting odds stand at +129 for the Under.

ATH @ LAD

Nick Kurtz o0.5 Batter Hits Runs RBIs

Nick Kurtz of ATH has achieved the Over on the 0.5 hits, runs, and RBIs line in 90% of his last 10 games, 70% of his last 20 games, and 46.7% of his last 30 games, with no current streak of hits, runs, and RBIs. His ten-game average for this category is 1.5. Based on current odds, the Over bet is favored at -144.

COL @ TEX

Marcus Semien u1.5 Batter Hits

Marcus Semien of the Texas Rangers faces the Colorado Rockies today, ranked 30th out of 30 in hits allowed per game. Across the past 10, 20, and 30 games, Semien has achieved less than 1.5 hits in 90%, 85%, and 90% of those games, respectively. He is currently on a 6-game streak of hitting under 1.5 hits, with a 10-game average of 0.5 hits per game, including 0.8 hits on average in away games. In his last encounter with Colorado, he recorded 0 hits. Despite his recent trend of scoring below the line, the betting odds for the Under are set at +195.

Brenton Doyle u1.5 Batter Total Bases

Brenton Doyle of the Colorado Rockies is facing the Texas Rangers and betting odds suggest an Under on Batter Total Bases, marked at 1.5 with odds of +125. Over his last 10 games, Doyle has achieved less than the 1.5 line in 90% of the games, with averages showing consistent performance at 0.6 total bases overall and at home. Doyle managed one total base the last time he played Texas. The Rangers are solid defensively, ranking 6th in both hits and runs allowed per game.

Ezequiel Duran u1.5 Batter Total Bases

Ezequiel Duran of the Texas Rangers is up against the Colorado Rockies, with a line set at 1.5 for Batter Total Bases, and an Under bet having +129 odds. Over the last 10 games, Duran has achieved less than the line of 1.5 bases in 90% of those games, a trend that decreases to 50% over 20 games and 33.3% over 30 games. Currently, Duran is on a one-game Under streak with a 10-game average of 0.4 bases, although his performance improves to 1.1 bases when playing away games. In his previous encounter with Colorado, Duran registered 0 bases, despite Colorado ranking last in hits and runs allowed per game, which might suggest potential for improvement against their weak pitching.

Wyatt Langford u1.5 Batter Hits

Wyatt Langford of the Texas Rangers faces the Colorado Rockies, who rank last in hits allowed per game. Over the last 10 games, Langford has hit fewer than 1.5 hits 100% of the time, while the rates drop slightly to 85% over 20 games and 80% over 30 games. Currently on a 15-game streak of achieving Under 1.5 hits, Langford's 10-game average is 0.7 hits, matching his average in the last 10 away games. In his previous encounter with Colorado, he recorded just 1 hit. The line suggests Under 1.5 hits at odds of +175.

CWS @ CIN

Matt McLain u1.5 Batter Total Bases

Matt McLain of the Cincinnati Reds faces the Chicago White Sox today, with a focus on his total bases performance. Over his last 10 games, McLain has managed fewer than 1.5 total bases in 90% of those contests, maintaining a similar underperformance rate over his past 20 and 30 games at 90.0% and 86.7%, respectively. Currently, he is on a one-game streak of unders, with his recent average being 0.9 total bases over the past 10 games, which drops further to 0.6 when considering only away games. Notably, the betting odds favor the Under at +120.

KC @ HOU

Yordan Alvarez u1.5 Batter Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez of the Houston Astros faces the Kansas City Royals with a line of 1.5 total bases. Alvarez has achieved less than 1.5 total bases in 90% of his last 10 games, 75% over the last 20 games, and 70% over the last 30 games, indicating a strong trend towards hitting the Under. Along with a three-game streak of falling below the line, his recent average total bases stand at 1.1 overall and 1.0 in home games, although the last time he played against Kansas City, he recorded 6 total bases. The Royals rank 11th in hits allowed per game and 2nd in runs allowed with current odds are set at +104.

LAA @ SD

Jackson Merrill o1.5 Batter Total Bases

Jackson Merrill of the San Diego Padres takes on the Los Angeles Angels, boasting a hot streak of six games where he surpassed the 1.5 total bases line, achieving this in 90% of his last 10 games, 55% of the last 20, and 36.7% of the last 30. With current odds at -105 for the Over and a solid 3.8 average total bases over the past 10 games, Merrill's performance is further bolstered by an average of 2.2 total bases in recent away games. In his previous encounter with today's opponent, he registered 5 total bases, raising confidence against a team that ranks poorly, 27th in hits allowed and 26th in runs allowed per game.

Manny Machado o0.5 Batter Runs

Manny Machado from the San Diego Padres faces the Los Angeles Angels today and has a line set at 0.5 runs for Batter Runs, with the bet type being Over. Machado has achieved the Over in 90% of his last 10 games, 55% of his last 20 games, and 56.7% of his last 30 games, while averaging 1.1 runs in his last 10 games and 0.8 runs in away games over that stretch. His most recent performance against the Angels saw him scoring 1 run, and he has a current streak of 1 game hitting the Over. Given the Angels rank 26th out of 30 in runs allowed per game, this could be a favorable matchup for Machado to continue his scoring trend.

MIA @ CHC

Xavier Edwards u1.5 Batter Hits

Xavier Edwards of the Miami Marlins is set to face the Chicago Cubs, with the line for his batter hits set at 1.5 and favoring Under with odds at +190. Over his last 10, 20, and 30 games, Xavier has hit under the line in 90%, 85%, and 73.3% of games respectively, showing a strong tendency to perform below the indicated line. In his last game, he had a streak of being under, with a ten-game average of 0.9 hits and 1.0 hits in away games. Although he recorded a hit in the previous matchup against the Cubs, their allowing ranking of 20th out of 30 teams in hits per game indicates a low-to-moderate level of difficulty for him to exceed expectations today.

Xavier Edwards u1.5 Batter Total Bases

Xavier Edwards of the Miami Marlins faces the Chicago Cubs, with a line of 1.5 for Batter Total Bases. Despite playing against a weaker defensive team that ranks 20th in hits allowed and 17th in runs allowed, Edwards' recent performance data indicates a tendency to perform Under this line; he has exceeded this line only 10% of the time in his last 10 games, 15% over the last 20, and 26.7% over the last 30 games. He currently holds a streak of 1 game under this line, with a 10-game average of 0.9 total bases and an away game average of 1.2. Interestingly, Edwards recorded only 1 total base the last time he faced the Cubs, but the odds stand at +135 for the Under bet, reflecting skepticism regarding his ability to surpass the line even against a defensively weaker opponent.

MIL @ CLE

Nolan Jones u1.5 Batter Hits Runs RBIs

Nolan Jones of the Cleveland Guardians is facing the Milwaukee Brewers today, with a line set at 1.5 for the Under in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs category. Over the last 10 games, Jones has stayed Under this line in 90% of the games, demonstrating strong historical performance for this bet type, with hit rates of 75% and 80% for the last 20 and 30 games respectively. Presently on a streak of five games hitting the Under, Jones averages 0.5 in this category over the last 10 games, with a slightly higher home game average of 0.9. His previous encounter with the Brewers yielded a score of 0 in this category, which complements the fact that Milwaukee ranks 10th in hits allowed per game and 20th in runs allowed per game, potentially further supporting an Under bet in this scenario.

William Contreras u1.5 Batter Total Bases

William Contreras faces the Cleveland Guardians, which ranks 23rd in hits allowed and 18th in runs allowed per game. Despite this seemingly favorable matchup, Contreras has only a 90% and 76.7% hit rate at achieving less than 1.5 total bases over the last 10 and 30 games, respectively, and has an average of 0.8 total bases over his last 10 games, with a slightly higher average of 1.1 bases in Away games. His previous matchup with Cleveland resulted in 0 bases. Given this, the Under bet at +120 odds might have value considering his recent performance trends.

Isaac Collins u1.5 Batter Hits Runs RBIs

Isaac Collins, playing for Milwaukee against Cleveland, has been consistently underperforming in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs category, achieving below the betting line of 1.5 in his last 10 games with a perfect hit rate of 100% for Under. Over the past 20 games, his hit rate is 80%, and over the last 30 games, it's 76.7%, indicating a strong trend towards the Under. Collins has a streak of 10 games hitting under the line, with an average of 0.4 in his last 10 games and 1.2 in his away games, as per the specified value. Previously, he scored 0 in this category against today's opponent, whose ranking suggests average difficulty in hits and runs allowed per game, ranking 23rd and 18th, respectively. Despite his odds of +100, Collins' current performance trend suggests he is likely to continue underperforming in this category against Cleveland.

TB @ TOR

Kameron Misner u1.5 Batter Hits Runs RBIs

Kameron Misner from the Tampa Bay Rays faces the Toronto Blue Jays, with a line set at 1.5 for the Under in the Batter Hits Runs RBIs category. Over the last 10 games, Misner has fallen short of this line 90% of the time, slightly decreasing to 85% over the last 20 games and 66.7% over the last 30 games, indicating a recent strong trend for the Under. He is currently on a streak of 1 game below the line, averaging 0.6 in this category over the last 10 games and 1.2 in away games. Notably, Misner did not have a previous score recorded in this category against Toronto in recent matchups.

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Stay informed, stay ahead, and we'll catch you in the next issue.

Best,
Nate