Daily Teaser (GOLD)

Good Morning! Welcome to today’s edition of the Daily Teaser Newsletter.

Disclaimer: The data provided in this newsletter is for informational purposes only, should not be considered advice, and should be used at your own discretion. While we strive for accuracy, it may at times contain errors or be subject to change. Always verify information before acting on it.

MLB

CHC @ CIN

Austin Hays o0.5 Batter Singles

Austin Hays of the Cincinnati Reds has achieved Over 0.5 singles in 90% of his last 10 games, 60% of his last 20, and 63.3% of the last 30, currently on a 3-game Over streak. His singles average over the last 10 games is 1.0, while his average over the last 10 home games stands at 0.4, and he recorded 1 single in his most recent matchup against the Cubs. Chicago, today’s opponent, ranks 12th out of 30 teams in singles allowed per game.

Nico Hoerner o1.5 Batter Hits Runs RBIs

Nico Hoerner (CHC) faces CIN, with a 90% hit rate for Over 1.5 Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs over his last 10 games, 75% over his last 20, and 63.3% over his last 30. Over the past 10 games, he’s averaged 3.0 in this combined stat, and 2.4 per game in his last 10 away appearances, although he posted a zero in this category last time against CIN. Today, he matches up with an opponent that ranks 8th in hits allowed and 14th in runs allowed per game.

CLE @ MIN

Byron Buxton u1.5 Batter Hits

Byron Buxton of the Minnesota Twins faces Cleveland today, with the under 1.5 hits line showing he has averaged 1.0 hits over his last 10 games—including a 1.1 average at home—and is currently on a 7-game streak hitting under this mark. Over his past 10, 20, and 30 games, Buxton has been under 1.5 hits in 90%, 80%, and 76.7% of contests, respectively. The last time he faced Cleveland he recorded 2 hits, and Cleveland ranks 12th out of 30 teams in hits allowed per game.

Gabriel Arias o0.5 Batter Hits Runs RBIs

Gabriel Arias (CLE) has surpassed the 0.5 Batter Hits Runs RBIs line in 90% of his last 10 games, 65% of his last 20, and 60% of his last 30, and is currently on a 3-game streak for hitting the Over. Over his last 10 games, he is averaging 1.8 in this category both overall and in Away games, with a previous output of 2 in his last appearance versus today's opponent, MIN. Minnesota currently ranks near the bottom of MLB in both hits allowed (27th) and runs allowed per game (25th), which might impact Arias's potential to continue his strong run in this category.

Gabriel Arias o0.5 Batter Hits

Gabriel Arias of the Cleveland Guardians faces the Minnesota Twins tonight, and he has gone Over 0.5 hits in 90% of his last 10 games, 65% of his last 20, and 56.7% of his last 30, with a current three-game streak. Over his last 10 games overall, Arias is averaging 1.0 hit, and in his previous 10 away games, he averages 0.9; he recorded 2 hits the last time he faced Minnesota. Notably, Minnesota ranks 27th out of 30 MLB teams in hits allowed per game, suggesting a favorable matchup in this category.

MIA @ TEX

Connor Norby o0.5 Batter Hits

Connor Norby (Miami Marlins) has exceeded 0.5 hits in 90% of his last 10 games, 65% of his last 20 games, and 66.7% of his last 30 games, and is currently on a 4-game streak over this line. Over his last 10 games, he is averaging 1.2 hits, a mark that matches his average across his last 10 road games. In his previous matchup against today’s opponent (Texas Rangers), he did not record a hit in this category.

Janson Junk o2.5 Pitcher Earned Runs

Janson Junk of the Miami Marlins faces the Texas Rangers on the road today, with the relevant bet focused on Over 2.5 Pitcher Earned Runs. Over his last 10 games, Junk has recorded more than 2.5 earned runs in 90% of contests, with that hit rate dropping to 55% for the last 20 and 36.7% for the last 30 games, indicating a recent upward trend. He is on a nine-game streak of clearing this line, posting a 10-game average of 3.5 earned runs overall and a 2.1 average in his last 10 away games. Junk did not face Texas earlier this season, and the line for Pitcher Earned Runs is set at 2.5 at -131 odds.

Tyler Mahle o3.5 Pitcher Hits Allowed

Tyler Mahle of TEX has gone Over 3.5 Pitcher Hits Allowed in 90% of his last 10 games, 45% over his past 20 games, and 30% over his last 30 games, currently on a 9-game Over streak in this category. His 10-game average is 5.2 hits allowed, and in his last 10 home games he has averaged 3.7, while he did not face today's opponent MIA previously this season. These numbers reflect recent trends in Mahle's pitching performance as he faces Miami at home.

PHI @ ARI

Harrison Bader o0.5 Batter Singles

Harrison Bader of the Phillies has hit over 0.5 singles in 90% of his last 10 games, 70% of his last 20 games, and 70% of his last 30 games, with a current two-game streak of hitting the Over. Over his last 10 games, Bader is averaging 1.4 singles per game, though this drops to 0.5 singles per game in his last 10 Away contests. The last time he faced today's opponent, the Diamondbacks, he recorded zero singles. Arizona’s pitching staff ranks 13th out of 30 teams in singles allowed per game.

Taijuan Walker u15.5 Pitcher Outs

Taijuan Walker of the Phillies faces the Diamondbacks, who rank 13th out of 30 teams in at bats per game. Over his last 10, 20, and 30 games, Walker has stayed Under 15.5 pitcher outs in 100% of contests, with his current streak at 31 games. His ten-game average for pitcher outs is 0.0, as is his average over his last 10 away games. In his previous outing against Arizona, he also recorded 0 outs in this category.

SD @ CWS

Chase Meidroth o0.5 Batter Singles

Chase Meidroth of the White Sox faces the Padres and has gone Over 0.5 singles in 90% of his last 10 games, 75% over his last 20, and 70% over his last 30, currently riding a 3-game Over streak. Over his last 10 games he's averaged 1.2 singles, while in his last 10 home games that average is 1.1. When he last faced San Diego, no data for singles is available.

SEA @ HOU

Jorge Polanco o0.5 Batter Hits

Jorge Polanco of the Mariners has recorded at least 1 hit in 9 of his last 10 games (90 percent), 17 of his last 20 (85 percent), and 22 of his last 30 (73.3 percent), and is currently on a 1-game hit streak. Over his last 10 games, he's averaged 1.4 hits overall and 1.0 hit in his past 10 road games. Last time he faced the Astros, he notched 1 hit, though Houston ranks 5th in MLB in fewest hits allowed per game. The line is set at 0.5 hits.

TOR @ KC

Nathan Lukes u1.5 Batter Hits

Nathan Lukes of the Toronto Blue Jays faces the Kansas City Royals, who are ranked 14th out of 30 in hits allowed per game. Over his last 10 games, Lukes has recorded fewer than 1.5 hits in 90% of contests (85% over the last 20, and 80% over the last 30), currently riding a streak of 7 games under that mark. He averages 0.7 hits per game both over his last 10 overall and on the road, matching his hit total the last time he faced Kansas City.

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Stay informed, stay ahead, and we'll catch you in the next issue.

Best,
Nate